Michael Roberts' Blog -San Jose Homes, Real Estate and Houses for Sale

Bringing the Dream of Homeownership Within Reach

I have waited to post this info since, the last time the program was announced it was removed and now, finally, we can rely on it’s use.   I have added a link below, from the housing dept., to clarify the details for you and everyone in our Santa Clara County community of interested buyers and investors.

Congress has passed the legislation that grants a tax credit of up to $8,000 to first-time home buyers.

Here is more information about how the 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit can help prospective home buyers become part of the American dream.

Who Qualifies?

First-time home buyers who purchase homes between January 1, 2009 and December 1, 2009.

To qualify as a “first-time home buyer” the purchaser or his/her spouse may not have owned a residence during the three years prior to the purchase.

Which Properties Are Eligible?

The 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit may be applied to primary residences, including: single-family homes, condos, townhomes, and co-ops.

How Much Will the Credit Be?

The maximum allowable credit for home buyers is $8,000. Each home buyer’s tax credit is determined by two factors:

The price of the home-the credit is equal to 10% of the purchase price of the home, up to $8,000.    In our San Jose market this is a no brainer…the whole $8000 credit can be used if you meet the income restrictions.

The buyer’s income-single buyers with incomes up to $75,000 and married couples with incomes up to $150,000-may receive the maximum tax credit.

How to use the credit

If the Buyer(s)’ Income Exceeds These Limits, Can He/She Still Get a Credit?

Yes, some buyers may still be eligible for the credit.

The credit decreases for buyers who earn between $75,000 and $95,000 for single buyers and between $150,000 and $170,000 for home buyers filing jointly. The amount of the tax credit decreases as his/her income approaches the maximum limit. Home buyers earning more than the maximum qualifying income-over $95,000 for singles and over $170,000 for couples are not eligible for the credit.

Will the Tax Credit Need to Be Repaid?

No. The buyer does not need to repay the tax credit, if he/she occupies the home for three years or more. However, if the property is sold during the three-year period, the credit will be recouped on the sale.

Wow,  it’s 98 degrees out!  The number of sales for the month of April for Santa Clara County are also hot and very encouraging.    It is obvious our market is stabilizing,  finally!  Or is it?  Could this just be a spike that will pop this little bubble?

If  I were a gambling man, I would bet that the heat today might keep (some) buyers away.  Nah!  Didn’t apply yesterday.

Yesterday,   Saturday,  there were so many agents and clients showing/viewing property that parking in front of many listings was hard to find.     Several new home listings, a few my clients found worth pursuing, were already looking at multiple offers.

The average days on market for the County was down by almost 30 days.     We were looking at 125+days and now we are seeing 108 days.   The average sales/listing price percentage is up to 96% and has held consistently here for a couple of months now.

I wonder if I should buy that 30,000sq ft home now.  It;s only $64mil.  Maybe after Ice Cream!

Ok!  I am suffering from too many numbers, quotes and opinions.  Cap Rates, Cap and Trade, Carpet Tiles, Carbon and Tire Piles.   From Obama’s economic plan and Bush’s mistakes to Barney Franks…too much clutter!  Maybe it’s from the Starbucks at 9pm.

Like Obama said yesterday ” The stars have aligned…”  He was referring to the congress and white house being on the same side, I know.  Who cares!   I only care about the residential housing segment!  In my 28 years of working in the residential housing market has made it clear to me..The Stars Have Aligned..NOW!!!!

The market has bounced around, the housing segment has free fallen, like a trolley car going down Lombard street without a break man.  The job losses are about to level off.  The truth is the housing market is preparing to make a surge big time.  The mortgage finance rates are so low they are nearly free considering the 5-7 year equity upside coming.  Especially the fixed rates.  It is bringing tears to my eyes!..or is it the coffee?

I have been writing offer after offer for buyers, lately(today),  and homes are seeing multiple offers like 2003.  It is amazing how many best buys we are finding for everyone… are you one?   The inventory is down from 16 months worth to 4 months worth.   Some communities are at 3 months worth of inventory.  The big question….Where is the bottom?  Ummm…I think it is about to go on sabbatical.

If anyone is waiting…they are going to be like those in 2005 and “wanting”.    Market conditions have never been better.   Find a savvy Realtor, mortgage professional and your calculator and get moving on the Foreclosures and Short Sales available.    Where?  Wherever YOU want to buy a home in Santa Clara County or an investment out of the area.  Your Realtor is licensed to sell in California!  Everywhere in California!

Don’t believe me!   Call your friends…Call your Uncle, the Realtor…Go to open houses this weekend!  Then come back here and tell me what you learned!

While searching for a particular single family home for a recent buyer client, looking for REO’s (bank owned properties) (foreclosure to be specific), I kept getting the same results….good relative data that was current and up to date in the right communities.   In the meantime,  my new client forwarded a handful of MLS numbers and excitedly asked  “Can we see these foreclosure homes this afternoon?”   Funny thing was… They were no longer available.  One had a  pending sold status another was no longer on the market and the last one…I could not even find.

Frustrated, I asked my client where did you find these listings?   The answer was disappointing…another website.  I won’t share which one as I have found the data there to be poorly arranged and not current by any standards.   Figures!   I asked “Why would you go to another website to find a home when I have been sending you the most recent daily updates?”   I got another “figures” answer. …”I saw it on the web and they advertised on the TV news”.    Oh Gosh!  Not the web monkeys!

Many new websites and data exchanges have been popping up lately.  The problem with these other sites is that their data is third party.   They are built by web masters to capture leads that are then sold to the uninformed Real Estate agent looking for new business. These sites load from the same place your search is sourced from.  The one you set it up with your Realtor whom you probaly hired to find you the best home at the best price available.

Unfortunately, the web architecture does not have a true update process programmed in.  This allows for information to become old and irrelevant.    Much of the information is derived from Title records too.  If someone refinances their mortgage it will report it as a sale when it is “far from that”.   If you thought a home sold for $250,000 which was actullay in a million dollar neighborhood…good chance it did not REALLY sell.    Then there is the home that is $300,000 under market price….it actually sold 2 years ago!

In short,  all the homes available for sale were right here at their finger tips.   The data derived from this search tool is current, changes are updated by the minute and there is the capability to have any new results, based on the home search criteria, emailed directly to them.

The map search is the Best home search tool for many buyers.  This allows you to draw a line around a neighborhood and see only those results without being overwhelmed with a zip code search that will, invariably, return homes not anywhere near your desired neighborhood.   San Jose is rich in investors and fast, filtered results are paramount in being the first to find the best buys.

I hope I remember, the next time a meet a new client,  to share with them the dynamic web source for home buyers is right here.   Santa Clara County, Los Gatos, Cambrian, Blossom Valley, East Hills, Silver Creek, Milpitas, Fremont and Campbell etc… are included.   Cities in Merced, Stanislaus, Alameda and San Joaquin County are participating in the results found in this too.

Maybe I should post a bulletin on TV!

“I want to remodel now however, the market is so soft will I waste my money?”   That depends on the property value and what your LTV (loan to value) actually is.   Consider this news from NAHB.  The residential remodeling market declined further during the final quarter of 2008, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders’ (NAHB) Remodeling Market Index (RMI). The current market conditions indicator slid to 27.7, from 33.5 in the previous quarter. Future expectations of remodeling work plummeted to 19.6, from 27.7 in the third quarter. Both these indices descended to historic lows since the start of the RMI in 2001.

Wow!  If you have a low LTV and plan to be in your home fro a few more years maybe a small re-do would be of value now.  I bet some contractors are ready to get any job to keep some cash flow and stay relevant.

The RMI measures remodeler perceptions of market demand for current and future residential remodeling projects. Any number over 50 indicates that the majority of remodelers view market conditions as improving. The RMI has been running below 50 since the final quarter of 2005, following decreasing remodeling expenditures since that time.

“During the last quarter many remodelers were asking if their phones were still working because they received virtually no calls for work,” said NAHB Remodelers Chairman Greg Miedema, CGR, CGB, CAPS, a remodeler from Tucson, Ariz. “The jobs we are getting are for smaller projects and necessary home maintenance.”

 Yep, it is time to make the call.

Nationally, market conditions for major additions and alterations shrank to 20.2 (from 29.4 in the third quarter), while minor additions and alterations conditions slowed to 33.5 (from 38.51). Maintenance and repair dropped to 27.6 from 30.9 in the previous quarter. Overall, major additions and other large remodeling jobs have experienced a greater decline than smaller remodels and maintenance.

“Remodelers suggest that the huge decline in consumer confidence, volatility of the stock market, and uncertainty about the future of the economy have made homeowners delay remodeling decisions,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “These anxieties are causing consumers to wait and see if conditions improve before they are willing to commit to home improvement spending.”

All measures for future expectations in the remodeling market (calls for bids, amount of work committed for next three months, backlog of remodeling jobs, and appointments for proposals) dropped. Current market expectations slipped in all regions during the fourth quarter, with the Northeast declining to 24.9 (from 32.9 in the third quarter), the South 30.7 (from 31.5), the Midwest to 28.0 (from 36.2), and the West to 25.0 (from 36.1).

 Ok!  So, If you bought a REO (foreclosure) you know you bought at a super price probably very near the bottom, and you can see yourself living in your home for a few years then it is definetly time to take advantage of the soft remodel market and get your bids.  Good Luck ….and remember I am always a great source for tips.

Good News for both Sellers and Buyers.

Sellers will sell and buyers will buy at a 40% discount statewide according to the California Association of Realtors.

quote:

“Statewide sales in January edged past the 600,000 threshold for the first time since October 2005,” said C.A.R. President James Liptak. “The strength in California home sales in recent months signifies that the market is gradually working its way through the large numbers of distressed sales that have followed in the wake of the troubled mortgage problem. With favorable home prices and historically low mortgage rates, affordability in the California housing market is now at its highest since the start of the decade.” unquote

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled 624,940 in January at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations statewide. Statewide home resale activity increased 100.8% from the revised 311,160 sales pace recorded in January 2008. Sales in January 2009 increased 14% compared with the previous month.

The statewide sales figure represents what the total number of homes sold during 2009 would be if sales maintained the January pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The median price of an existing, single-family detached home in California during January 2009 was $254,350, a 40.5% decrease from the revised $427,200 median for January 2008, C.A.R. reported. The January 2009 median price fell 9.5% compared with December’s revised $281,180 median price.

“A lot of attention has rightfully been directed toward the high number of distressed properties,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “California’s housing market also is feeling the effects of a drought in the availability of jumbo mortgage loans.

“Since the start of the credit crisis in 2007, jumbo lending has been severely constrained to the point where markets that rely on jumbo loans experienced a 24% year-to-year decline in sales in the month of January. This stands in contrast to the 100% sales gain the overall market experienced,” she said.

Highlights of C.A.R.’s resale housing figures for January 2009:

- C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index for existing, single-family detached homes in January 2009 was 6.7 months, compared with 16.6 months (revised) for the same period a year ago. The index indicates the number of months needed to deplete the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate.
- Thirty-year fixed-mortgage interest rates averaged 5.05% during January 2009, compared with 5.76% in January 2008, according to Freddie Mac. Adjustable-mortgage interest rates averaged 4.92% in January 2009, compared with 5.23% in January 2008.
- The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home was 49.9 days in January 2009, compared with 70.8 days (revised) for the same period a year ago.

In a separate report covering more localized statistics generated by C.A.R. and DataQuick Information Systems, none of the 331 cities and communities reporting showed an increase in their respective median home prices from a year ago. DataQuick statistics are based on county records data rather than MLS information. DataQuick Information Systems is a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates. (The top 10 list is generated for incorporated cities with a minimum of 30 recorded sales in the month.)

Note: Large changes in local median home prices typically indicate both local home price appreciation, and often, large shifts in the composition of housing market activity. Some of the variations in median home prices for January may be exaggerated due to compositional changes in housing demand.

Statewide, the 10 cities with the highest median home prices in California during January 2009 were: Santa Barbara, $939,250; Redondo Beach, $672,500; Pleasanton, $655,000; San Clemente, $602,500; San Ramon, $582,000; Yorba Linda, $566,750; San Francisco, $561,000; Huntington Beach, $555,000; Encinitas, $550,000; and Sunnyvale, $530,000.

The Obama housing plan attacks two problems that are creating a vicious cycle in the nation’s housing market.

I am just not sure what it really does for Buyers.   We need Buyers to Buy the homes already on the Market.

Anyway…

First, Obama’s plan offers $200 billion to provide refinancing for some homeowners who owe more than their homes are now worth-shorthanded as being “underwater” on their mortgages. To qualify, these homeowners-5 million of them by administration estimates-must have their mortgages in the hands of Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, the mortgage finance giants that the government seized last September.

“We have been advocating for one unified approach to help modify or refinance delinquent and underwater loans and thus we think this program will undoubtedly help servicers keep more at-risk borrowers in their homes, which is a crucial step to helping stabilize the mortgage and housing markets,” stated John A. Courson, president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).

Many of these homeowners would like to take advantage of today’s historically low interest rates and refinance but can’t, since the law prohibits refinancing if the current mortgages reflects less than 80% of the homes’ values. These homeowners now can seek to refinance if their mortgages are up to 5% higher than the present-day values of their homes. That helps some, but it won’t reach lots of homeowners in California, Florida and elsewhere whose homes are now worth substantially less than their mortgages.

Because most mortgages are bundled into securities and sold into a secondary market, it’s often difficult for homeowners to find out whether Fannie or Freddie owns their loans or whether they’ve been pooled with other loans and sold by an investment bank to other investors.

Second, Obama’s plan attacks the problem of affordability. The administration provides another $75 billion in incentives to help prevent foreclosures in cases in which the homeowners, up to 4 million of them, are about to lose their homes. The money comes from the $700 billion bailout fund approved last October.

Under this complex portion of the plan, the president offers a stream of financial incentives to mortgage servicers, who are essentially bill collectors for private investors who own pools of U.S. mortgages. Some incentives stay with the servicers while others flow through to investors.

In exchange for the incentives, a servicer would modify a mortgage so that no more than 38% of a homeowner’s monthly after-tax income was taken by the monthly mortgage payment. The government then would step in and share the cost of reworking that mortgage so that no more than 31% of the borrower’s monthly income was tied up in the payment.

This could result in some mortgages carrying interest rates as low as 2% for five years. Critics think that this mortgage subsidy interferes with the natural process of letting the marketplace find the floor on home prices.

Let’s just h.o.p.e THIS plan works~

March 17, 2009-Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) launched its new REO Rental Initiative giving qualified tenants and former owners the option to lease their recently foreclosed properties on a month-to-month basis. The REO Rental Initiative will be managed by HomeSteps®, Freddie Mac’s national real estate unit, and implemented through several national property management firms.

Freddie Mac also announced it will continue to suspend all eviction actions until April 1, 2009 to ensure there is ample time for current occupants to learn about the options available to them under the new initiative.

“Freddie Mac’s REO Rental Initiative can help ease a foreclosure’s impact by giving renters and former owners more time to determine what options are best for them and their families. At the same time, the REO Rental Initiative helps stabilize property values and local communities by keeping homes occupied and less vulnerable to vandalism,” said Ingrid Beckles, Senior Vice President, Default Asset Management at Freddie Mac.

Property management firms will begin the process of contacting occupants of foreclosed properties to determine their interest in staying in the home and their eligibility for a month-to-month lease. Occupants will be contacted only after the foreclosure gives Freddie Mac the legal authority to offer a lease.

To qualify for a lease, the tenant or former owner must occupy the property and show they have adequate income to pay the monthly rental amount established by the property management company based on market rents for the area in which the home is located. Occupants must agree to allow HomeSteps to show the home to potential buyers as it will be marketed for sale during the lease period.

Additionally, the home must be in safe, habitable condition and meet all local codes for rental properties to qualify for the REO Rental Initiative.

If an occupant does not wish to lease the property, Freddie Mac will continue its current practice of offering relocation assistance. In addition, Freddie Mac will also explore available workout options with owner-occupants after Freddie Mac gains title to the property through foreclosure.

Have you heard?  Mortgage rates are again dropping to near-record lows – below 5% – in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s decision to buy up Treasury bonds and mortgage securities. Lower rates may help spur home sales, but analysts expect much of the action to come from homeowners who are looking to refinance, but mortgage experts caution that many homeowners are bound to be disappointed.

The problems that created the mortgage meltdown mess mean that tighter rules and regulations have been put in place for home buyers and those seeking to refinance, and tight lending standards make it much harder for all but the most creditworthy borrowers to qualify.

Here I have added some quotes for you…

“A lot of people could not requalify for the loan they have now,” said Alex Stenback with Residential Mortgage Group in Minnetonka. “There are tougher credit standards in place and you have to have a certain amount of equity in the property in addition to meeting the now-tighter debt-to-income ratio requirements.”

Keith Gumbinger of HSH Associates, a publisher of mortgage information, said “good interest rates were available to all kinds of borrowers in all kinds of credit circumstances when the market was running flat out five years ago. That’s not the case today.”

“You must be a much better borrower than you had to be before,” he said. “For some borrowers, you might have to get used to hearing ‘no.’”

Maybe I should educate you a bit about the what the BIG GUYS are doing.

By snapping up Treasury securities, the Fed boosts their prices, and that drives down the yield, or interest rate. The 10-year Treasury bond dropped by the biggest one-day amount since 1981 this past Wednesday and rebounded slightly on Thursday.

Analysts expected mortgage rates to follow suit, and they did come down on both Wednesday and Thursday.

The national average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 4.94%, down nearly a quarter of a percentage point from a day earlier, according to HSH Associates.
Stenback said that rates on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage were 4.5% to 4.625% for a best-case scenario borrower.

Will they stay that low? Probably not.

“When we see these really dramatic drops, there’s a little bit of a snap-back effect,” said Stenback. “But they probably won’t go back up to where they were before.”

Paul Schuster, vice president of Marketplace Home Mortgage and head of the Minnesota Mortgage Association, called the downward trend positive but said it won’t solve the housing problem alone. “It’s a key to affordability, and low rates are critical to helping the housing market recover, and it was a commitment by the Federal Reserve to support that in a big way.”

Home buyers and owners who want to refinance should be prepared for a longer process, Schuster said, and for different rates or costs, depending on their credit scores and loan-to-value ratios. “Now, there might three or four different levels for transactions that previously would have been priced equally,” he said.

Stenback said he expected a “huge” number of people to try to refinance but urged patience as the underwriters, closers and others scramble to keep up with demand.

Seems like we never get exactly what we expect!!!!!   Now we have to wait OUR turn.    PPFFFFT!   I am an “I want it now person” too often…lol.   This should not stop you from starting the application process and getting prepared!

Are you a homeowner planning on moving up to a bigger or more expensive home? Here’s a guide for planning the transition, with tips from myself and other real estate professionals on the RealEstate.com broker network.

Figure out how much your current home is likely to sell for.
Have your real estate professional conduct a comparative market analysis.  This is important for Condo owners and Single Family Home owners.  “Be realistic about pricing the home so it moves quickly,” adds Sandy Guralnik, a broker with Coldwell Banker United in Charlotte, N.C. This will help you avoid a long gap between when you buy your new home and sell your old one.

Consider the market.
If you have only been in the home two or three years and made little or no down payment, you might not have enough equity to sell at a profit in today’s soft market with all the foreclosures out there. You might even owe more on the mortgage than the home is worth. On the other hand, if your home has appreciated well, it might be easier to move up to a bigger and better home.

Consider your finances.
Your overall debt picture is important if you plan to move into a larger, more expensive home. In addition to a higher mortgage, you’ll likely have higher utility, insurance and property taxes as well. If you owe money on a home equity loan, you’ll have to pay that back when you sell the home, which will eat into your profit.

Get preapproved by a reputable lender.
The lender will tell you how much money they’re willing to lend you, which will tell you how much house you can afford. Then, figure out how much you’re comfortable spending. The two numbers are not necessarily the same, says Jan Miyasato, director of corporate and client services for Prudential California Realty in Pleasanton, Calif.

Determine your long-term housing needs.
Will you be starting or expanding your family in a few years? Will the larger home be as teen-friendly as it is toddler-friendly? Is there a place for a home office if one of you eventually works from home?

Be realistic.
Most people will not be able to move up from a starter home into their dream home. It’s a long-term process that occurs over several moves, says Debbie Wong, a certified residential specialist with Prudential California Realty in San Mateo, Calif. Plus, it’s harder to qualify for a loan if the jump in monthly payments is too big, she says.

Preview properties in your target price range and location.
Look to see whether the homes match your trade-up goals.

Get your home on the market.
Moving up will go more smoothly if you are able to sell your home before trying to buy another in Santa Clara County. For one thing, many buyers are leery of contracts in which the sale is contingent on the seller finding a home. Finances also are an issue. You might be able to get a bridge loan if you’re unable to sell before you buy, but consider whether you can afford two mortgages for more than a month or two.

Determine the best time for your move.
If you want to move in the summertime, start your other preparations early enough to meet that goal.